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Tuesday 20th March 2018

IMF Chief Warns of High Arab Public Debt


7Dnews London - AFP

Sat, 09 Feb 2019 19:47 GMT

Public debt has rapidly increased in many Arab countries since the 2008 financial crisis, due to persistently high budget deficits, according to the head of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), Christine Lagarde.

"Unfortunately, the region has yet to fully recover from the global financial crisis and other big economic dislocations over the past decade," IMF Managing Director Christine Lagarde said, speaking Saturday February 9th.

"Among oil importers, economic growth has picked up, but it is still below pre-crisis levels," she told the Arab Fiscal Forum in Dubai.

Lagarde said public debt among Arab oil importing nations had increased from 64% to 85% of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the decade since 2008.

Nearly half of these countries now have public debt of over 90% of their GDP, she said.

Public debt among oil exporters—including the six-nation Gulf Cooperation Council—rose from 13% of GDP to 33% of GDP, accelerated by the crash in oil prices around five years ago, Lagarde said.

"The oil exporters have not fully recovered from the dramatic oil price shock of 2014," she said, before adding, "modest growth continues, but the outlook is highly uncertain."

Moreover, oil producing countries should look to renewable energy in the coming decades, in line with the Paris Agreement on climate change, which stipulates a reduction in greenhouse emissions, she added.

The IMF last month lowered its economic growth forecasts for Saudi Arabia -- the world's top crude exporter -- and the wider Middle East and North Africa region due to a renewed fall in oil prices, low output and geopolitical tensions.

Meanwhile, Lagarde welcomed both spending and revenue reforms, including the introduction of a value added-tax (VAT) and excise duty by Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates.

However, she urged more reforms, anti-corruption measures and transparency.

"The economic path ahead for the region is challenging," she added.

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